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    Very Important Special State Senate Race Leads to Major Election Stunner in Bad News for Republicans Heading into Midterms

    By Adam StantonJanuary 1, 2026
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    A recent viral tweet announced Democrat Renee Hardman’s landslide victory in the Iowa State Senate District 16 special election, securing 71.5% of the vote against Republican Lucas Loftin, a 27-point Democratic overperformance from 2024.

    For context, this win prevents a GOP supermajority and marks Hardman as Iowa’s first Black female senator. In the comments, many users were enraged by the GOP’s inaction and expressed frustration with the lackluster performance.

    The analysis started with the tweet laying out the facts. “Democrat Renee Hardman won Iowa State Senate District 16 with 71.5% of the vote, an estimated 27-point Democratic overperformance compared to 2024,” the post read.

    Building on this previous comment, the tweet noted the impact and explained how it will impact the state, saying, “Hardman’s win blocks a GOP supermajority and marks the first time a Black woman has been elected to the Iowa Senate.”

    Offering one possible explanation, one comment under the tweet suggested, “It’s a blue district and it’s a special election between Christmas and New Year’s. Surprising any Republican bothered voting at all.”

    Similarly despondent, another added, “If you look at the election history, the Democrats aren’t getting more voters, they’re actually getting slightly less than 2024. It’s just nobody is going and voting Republican because they do nothing.”

    Painting a dim version of the future, one comment noted, “If a democrat won in Iowa the midterms are going to be scary. Hope the economy improves much, rates drop sharply, inflation dies, those tarrif checks come in and overall affordability and new prosperity lights some fire under the MAGA base and Republicans in general!”

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    Hardman offered her own thoughts about the election in a conversation on Iowa public radio. “It was about whether families in this district can find childcare that they can afford, whether parents can take their kids to a doctor and trust that they will care for their needs, whether seniors can live life with dignity and money still in their pockets, whether workers can earn a fair wage and build a life for their families too,” she claimed.

    Continuing her commentary, she suggested, “With this comes though great responsibility, responsibility to live out those five words that was on my yard sign, that I be the voice for all people, a beacon of light and hope that Iowa can be a better place where every family has the opportunity to thrive.”

    Relating her victory explicitly to conversations about redrawing voting maps, the Democrat added, “We just decided as a collective that we’re going to get this job done, and we are going to prevent the supermajority, and that is what helped drive our motivation to get this job done.”

    Reacting to the shocking victory, Senate Minority Leader Janice Weiner said, “Mike Zimmer, Catelin Drey, and now Renee Hardman, you are changing the face of our caucus, of the Iowa Senate, of our politics, of the state of Iowa. You have helped us break the supermajority and start to bring some balance back to this state.”



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