During a recent broadcast, CNN data analyst Harry Enten pointed out that former President Donald Trump could even win the popular vote based on the latest polling. As the election approaches, Enten has continually analyzed polling data showing surging support for the Republican presidential candidate.
Enten explained during last Friday’s segment of “News Central” that while many have predicted Trump will win the electoral college, he could actually take the overall popular vote. “Trump may win the popular vote. Everyone has been talking about this idea that Trump may win in the electoral college, but Kamala Harris may win the popular vote, but Trump may finally get his great white whale.”
The data analyst continued, “The fact is Donald Trump is very much in a position he could win the popular vote, which of course is something he would absolutely love to do.” Enten added, “The fact that Donald Trump has a legitimate shot of winning the popular vote is something I think a lot of folks, including in my line of work, really didn’t think could possibly happen when Donald Trump was running last time around. He could make history not just for Donald Trump, but for a Republican candidate as well.”
However, Enten dug deeper into the data discovering the drivers behind why Trump is seemingly ahead with the popular vote. He noted, “On the flip side of that, a potentially good sign for Democrats is: Why is Donald Trump doing so well in the popular vote polls? You can dig down into the state-level polling, and you can see that Donald Trump is doing particularly well in California, Florida, New York and Texas.”
Obviously such states are inconsequential to the election as it is all but guaranteed which way they will vote. Therefore, Enten concluded that Trump is “wasting votes” in this regard, where the critical swing states, which will determine the election, are still too close to call at this point in the race.
“Of course, none of these states are really on the board at this point. So Donald Trump may end up gaining in the national popular vote polls, but actually, he’s wasting votes, which could, in fact, lead to a case where Kamala Harris could sneak by in the electoral college by sweeping those Great Lake battleground states, which at this point, are way too close to call,” Enten explained.
The American Tribune previously reported on Enten’s commentary about Harris’ substantial decline in union support. “Sometimes there are data points that just jump off the screen, should set off sirens. Alright, this is union households. This is the Democratic margin in the presidential election. It ain‘t what it used to be,” Enten said. “Bill Clinton won that union vote by 30 points. Hillary Clinton only won it by 12 points back in 2016. That was the lowest mark for a Democrat since 1984, Mondale vs. Reagan. But look at where Kamala Harris is today. She is only leading by nine points.”
Watch Enten’s analysis of Trump’s chance at winning the popular vote below:
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