In some very good news for Republicans headed into the 2026 midterms, the state-level Republican Party organization in Nevada has managed to squeeze out a voter registration advantage in the state over the Democratic Party organization, the first time that it has managed to do so since 2007.
As the state is a swing state that went for Trump in 2024 despite the Democratic Party’s voter registration advantage that still existed at that point, the news is potentially quite momentous for Republicans and could indicate that the 2026 midterms will turn out somewhat more positively for Republicans than is currently expected by many who fear a blowout for the left.
In any case, the notable shift in the voter makeup of Nevada has been won by very slim margins, with Republicans currently holding, as of February 596,356 active voter registrations, whereas the Democratic Party currently has 593,740, giving the GOP a lead of 2,616 voters. Both, however, are outweighed by the 799,056 non-partisan voter registrations, which could go either way.
Tweeting about the good news, Turning Point USA’s Ben Larrabee posted, “Nevada voter registrations just droped! 🚨🚨🚨 The GOP has a +2,616 advantage over Democrats for active voters on the rolls! 🔴GOP: 596,356 🔵Dem: 593,740 This is the first year since 2007 in which there are more active Republicans than Democrats in the state.”
Commenters on Ben’s post were broadly positive. One such commenter, for example, said, “That’s good news . . . Did Nevada recently clean up their voter rolls of dead people and people who moved out of the state and removed illegals too? I think I heard about that.” Another noted, however, that actually voting rather than just registering is important, saying, “Now we need to get them to the polls”.
Still another called for even more strenuous efforts in the months leading up to the midterms, saying, “Better turn things up, don’t get lazy or complacent. Canvas, door knock, cold call, register, everything to keep diluting their impact in Vegas. This entire state is red with the exception of Vegas and Washoe county.”
In any case, the news is still a massive shift, as Democrats have had the edge for years, with a dominant advantage since 2010, and an absolutely whopping lead in 2012, when statewide totals showed that Democrats had 635,419 registered voters and Republicans only 504,974, a painfully large gap of over 130,000.
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That dominant advantage lasted for years, with the Democratic Party holding a 100,000 voter advantage as late as 2020. However, buoyed by President Trump’s popularity and dedicated to rebuilding, the state-level Nevada GOP has been clawing away at that dominant Democrat voter registration advantage for years, with that hard work bearing much fruit in 2024.
One major shift that has much helped Republicans claw away at the Democratic advantage is that, starting in 2025, the Nevada DMV stopped allowing party selection at point of service, meaning most new registrations are non-partisan, as they require later and greater effort. Given that those who don’t make the effort are likely to be low-propensity voters, the voter registration divide seems to bear some degree of accuracy in showing how the state’s elections are trending, which is good news for Republicans.
Watch another major voter registration story here: