Recent reports show that former President Donald Trump is leading among union workers and those who work in manual labor in the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania. According to a new poll from the Center for Working-Class Politics and YouGov, the Republican presidential candidate has surged in popularity among the voting demographic in the influential state.
The poll shows former President Trump with a lead among current and former union workers in Pennsylvania, 47 percent, compared to Vice President Harris’ 43 percent. However, Harris holds a lead among non-unionized workers, over 48 percent, compared to Trump’s 43 percent among the voting demographic.
The American Tribune recently reported on comments from CNN data analyst Harry Enten who sounded the alarm on concerning data regarding union support for Vice President Harris that should “set off sirens.” According to Enten’s analysis, Harris was on pace to attain the worst union support for a Democratic presidential candidate in nearly 40 years.
“Sometimes there are data points that just jump off the screen, should set off sirens. Alright, this is union households. This is the Democratic margin in the presidential election. It ain‘t what it used to be,” Enten explained. “Bill Clinton won that union vote by 30 points. Hillary Clinton only won it by 12 points back in 2016. That was the lowest mark for a Democrat since 1984, Mondale vs. Reagan. But look at where Kamala Harris is today. She is only leading by nine points.”
Giving historical context for the data points on screen, Enten further explained why this is bad for the Democratic Party. “That would be the worst Democratic performance in a generation. Ten points off the mark of Joe Biden, who of course won four years ago, was sort of that union guy, union Joe, right?” he said about Harris polling among union households.
“Sometimes there are data points that just jump off the screen, should set off sirens. Alright, this is union households. This is the Democratic margin in the presidential election. It ain‘t what it used to be,” Enten noted. “Bill Clinton won that union vote by 30 points. Hillary Clinton only won it by 12 points back in 2016. That was the lowest mark for a Democrat since 1984, Mondale vs. Reagan. But look at where Kamala Harris is today. She is only leading by nine points.”
Enten added, “Look at this margin, this to me, oh boy, does this tell you about the state of our politics now vs. back in the early 1990s, margin among vocational and trade school grads in pre-election polling. Bill Clinton was leading that vote over George H.W. Bush by seven points. Look at where Donald Trump is today, over Kamala Harris, a 31-point advantage.”
The shifting of union support to the Republican Party demonstrates what many have described as a realignment of the parties. Some have argued that the GOP has now become the party of the average working-class American with the popular Make America Great Again platform, where Democrats have become out-of-touch and sold out to elitist interests.
Watch Enten sound the alarm below:
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