According to recent data from the Kalshi Election Forecast, former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by a substantial margin in every single swing state. Kalshi, which allows people to trade on election odds, indicates that the vast majority of individuals betting on the election believe former President Donald Trump will trounce Harris in the crucial battleground states and retake the presidency.
Comedian Terrence Williams took to X, sharing the latest data showing Trump with double-digit leads in many of the states. According to Kalshi’s view of the overall presidential election at the time of writing this article, former President Trump has a roughly 60% chance of winning the election, while Vice President Harris has approximately a 40% chance.
Users on social media weighed in on the betting odds. “These numbers from the Kalshi prediction market are clear—Trump is leading in every battleground state. It’s no surprise that voters are moving toward Trump and rejecting Kamala Harris’s failed leadership. From Arizona to Pennsylvania, Georgia to Michigan, Americans are tired of the endless failures of the current administration and are ready for a leader who delivers real results,” commentator Torsten Prochnow wrote.
🚨🔥 BREAKING: Trump leads in every battleground state on @Kalshi
AZ
🔴Trump: 67%
🔵Harris: 33%PA
🔴Trump: 54%
🔵Harris: 46%MI
🔴Trump: 52%
🔵Harris: 48%GA
🔴Trump: 64%
🔵Harris: 36%WI
🔴Trump: 52%
🔵Harris: 48%NC
🔴Trump: 64%
🔵Harris: 36%NV
🔴Trump: 54%
🔵Harris:… pic.twitter.com/BaVfaD1E4G— Terrence K. Williams (@w_terrence) October 21, 2024
Prochnow continued, outlining the various issues with the Harris-Walz campaign, such as its lack of coherent messaging and inability to connect with the interests of average Americans. Furthermore, Harris has a concerning record she must contend with, being associated with the failures of the Biden administration on issues such as illegal immigration, the economy, etc.
“Harris’s inability to connect with voters, combined with disastrous policies on crime, the economy, and the border, has put her campaign in a free fall. Meanwhile, Trump’s message of strong borders, economic stability, and restoring law and order resonates with those who want America back on track. It’s a clear choice for voters—between a leader who understands the concerns of everyday Americans and a candidate who’s spent years dodging accountability,” he added. “The numbers don’t lie, and neither do the American people. Trump’s lead in these critical states is a reflection of where the country is headed, and it’s not looking good for Harris.”
However, others warned not to rely to heavily on polling or other election forecasts, encouraging Republicans to ensure that they get out and vote accordingly. “Don’t put to much value in polls, because they change quickly. Looking at these polls it sure is a good sign seeing we’re leading in them all. November 5th is the most important poll of all. VOTEV TRUMP/VANCE2024,” they commented.
Another person echoed this sentiment, reminding voters that these numbers mean nothing if citizens don’t exercise their civic duties. “These numbers are amazing but should be treated as what they are, just numbers and NOT VOTES. Too Big To Rig is a great strategy and should not be forgotten. Vote like your vote is the one that gets Trump over the line,” they said.
Watch conservative activist Scott Presler explain key developments in the swing state of Pennsylvania below:
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