According to recent reports, every critical battleground state is trending toward former President Donald Trump. Based on the findings from polling averages calculated by RealClear Polling, the Trump-Vance campaign has taken the lead in every single crucial swing state, all of which have been predicted to play outsized roles in the upcoming election.
Since late last week, Trump has maintained a slight lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the battleground states, where his overall lead had increased by +0.3 by the weekend. Reportedly, Trump is leading by 1.8 points in Arizona, 1.7 points in Georgia, 1.0 points in North Carolina, 0.9 points in Michigan, 0.8 points in Nevada, 0.5 points in Pennsylvania, and is slightly ahead by 0.1 points in Wisconsin.
RealClear Polling analyzes the average of various polls across the political landscape, such as The New York Times/Siena College, The Hill/Emerson, the Trafalgar Group, The Wall Street Journal, and others. As a result, the organization determined that Kamala Harris leads the national polls with 49.2% to 47.9% as of this past weekend. However, RCP’s analysis of Electoral College Polling shows Trump winning with 219 electoral votes, with Harris at 215 and 104 electoral votes as “toss-ups.” However, with no tos-up votes, the group predicts that Trump will lead Harris bys 312 to 226 votes.
The American Tribune recently reported on the news that has sent Democrats into a panic as it appears Vice President Harris is on track to lose the key battleground state of Michigan. “I’m not feeling my best right now about where we are on Kamala Harris in a place like Michigan,” Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) said about her state. “We have her underwater in our polling,” Slotkin added,
Suffolk University Political Research Center, David Paleologos explained that, in order to win the state, Harris must maintain a substantial lead. “If the Kamala Harris margin shrinks to a 1-point lead, the entire state hinges on the fringes of the Michigan ballot,” he said. “The behavior of third-party voters — people who are mocked for wasting their votes — could make the difference if they rotate to either Harris or Trump.”
The Tribune also reported on signs that Nevada could flip red this election. Democrat strategist Dheeraj Chand said, “There are very few paths to victory that do not involve Nevada.” John McLaughlin, a Trump campaign pollster and CEO of McLaughlin & Associates noted, “It would be a big blow to her when we take those electoral votes.” Nevada Republican strategist Jeremy Hughes stated, “One of the particularly interesting things about it is it’s the only state that President Trump lost twice. Now, he has a chance to flip it this cycle.”
“So it has moved a little to the right. Voter registration in the state has also moved significantly. In fact, I think more Republicans than Democrats will vote in this election,” Hughes added, pointing out that voter registration efforts suggest that the historic Democratic stronghold may turn to former President Trump this election.
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Watch conservative activist Scott Presler explain key developments in the swing state of Pennsylvania below: