With just a few days left before the momentous 2024 election, one that many on both sides see as being a potential turning point for the country, leading American poll-watcher and political analysis site RealClearPolitics has revealed a major shift in its electoral forecast showing a longtime blue state shifting toward Trump for this election.
That state is New Hamshire, long a blue state. According to a recent update from Real Clear Politics, it has shifted from the “Lean Democrat” category to the much more uncertain “Toss-Up” status, something that is potentially very good news for former resident Donald Trump.
Particularly helpful for the former president is that putting the state in play might distract VP Harris from bigger states, and winning over the 4 electoral votes that the Granite State has would not by itself put Trump in the winning camp but would narrow the path to victory that Harris has.
Interestingly, though, the RealClearPolitics polling still shows Kamala up right now, with her winning by 4.5 points in the final few days before the election, that is significantly narrower than her lead in prior weeks, something that could show her vulnerability in even formerly uncontestably blue states.
Adding to her woes is that other polls have confirmed that the state is in play, For example, a recent poll conducted by the New Hampshire Journal and Praecones Analytica, one published on the evening of Sunday, October 27, found that former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris by a vanishingly small margin.
That shocking New Hampshire poll found he commands 50.2% of support compared to Kamala’s 49.8%. If accurate, that would mean Trump wins the state, unlike all Republicans since 2000’s election between George W. Bush and then-Vice President Al Gore.
Speaking about the Granite State polling, Trump national campaign spokesperson and New Hampshire native Karoline Leavitt said that Kamala is now on the defensive in the state. She said, “There’s a reason Kamala Harris has been spending money in New Hampshire. She’s on defense and knows President Trump is on the path to victory.”
Continuing, she claimed that this election is monumentally important, saying, “To my fellow Granite Staters who want to keep our beautiful state safe, business-friendly, and free — get out and vote for President Trump. Kamala Harris is a radical liberal who would destroy New Hampshire and America forever.”
In any case, according to RealClearPolitics, many other states are tossups between Trump and Kamala. These include not just generally red states like Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina but formerly deep blue states like Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
X personality Benny Johnson noted in a post on X that another polling group, Rasmussen, shows Trump winning not just the Granite State, but also the Old Dominion, another longtime generally blue state, in this monumentally important election. He said, commenting on that, “📈TRUMP SURGE📈 Top Rasmussen Pollster Mark Mitchell reveals new data showing race precipitously slipping from Kamala Harris with Trump potentially picking up Virginia AND New Hampshire.” He also included a video with Mitchell, watch it here:
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