New polling data suggests that the America First message is resonating with American voters who have clearly had enough of establishment politicians, as several high-profile Republicans In Name Only (RINOs) are losing big time in the polls leading up to key GOP primaries. One such individual is Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA), who, if the polling data is correct, could be nearing the end of his congressional career.
Cassidy, who supported the impeachment of President Donald Trump during his first term in office following the events of January 6, 2021, could end up being primaried by a more pro-Trump candidate if voters in his state have anything to say about it. And they do. Cassidy’s biggest and most dangerous competitor is Rep. Julia Letlow. Letlow has been endorsed by President Trump, which is worth its weight in gold.
The Louisiana senator is also going up against state Treasurer John Fleming. The state of Louisiana requires candidates to win a majority in order to receive the nomination, it looks likely that the race will go to a runoff. What everyone wants to know is which of the two candidates will advance? As of this writing, both Cassidy and Letlow have 28%, with Fleming trailing at 22%.
However, according to Decision Desk HQ, even if Cassidy does somehow become one of the candidates to move forward in a runoff, his chances of beating Letlow or Fleming are quite low. The infamous RINO falls behind both of the other candidates by a margin of 14 and 18 percentage points respectively. Either way, the data is not in favor of Cassidy becoming the GOP nominee for the midterm elections later this year.
Another RINO who is looking more and more likely to get booted from his current seat in the Senate is incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) who is locked in a tight runoff race with Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. According to Newsweek, a memo from the Senate Majority PAC and Democratic pollster GQR shows that 47% of voters back Paxton, with 42% supporting Cornyn.
A total of 12% remain undecided. The winner of the runoff will face state Rep. James Talarico, a Democrat, in the November general election. Whoever takes the victory in that race will play a huge part in deciding which of the two major political parties will end up in control of the U.S. Senate. Commentary for the poll suggests that Paxton supporters ” “much more motivated to vote in the upcoming runoff than Cornyn’s.”
A total of 85% of Paxton backers show they are a 10 out of 10 for their enthusiasm for their candidate of choice, compared to 70% of Cornyn’s supporters. Ultimately, what may cinch the win for either of the candidates is an endorsement from President Trump, who has yet to announce who he is supporting for the seat.
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According to the analysis of the polling data, what’s hurting Cornyn the most is his record on gun control and immigration policy, with many conservatives feeling that the incumbent senator has betrayed them and the values he claims to hold to. As of now, the primary runoff for the GOP Senate race is scheduled to take place on May 26, 2026.