According to recent reports, Rasmussen’s top pollster, Mark Mitchell, has predicted that former President Donald Trump will win the upcoming 2024 presidential election in a landslide. Mitchell explained how he believes Trump will win decisively, possibly “sweeping battleground states.” Mitchell opined that this election is comparable to the 1980 Reagan-Carter race, where a “major political realignment” could occur.
During an interview with Breitbart News, Mitchell claimed polls showing that the race is close between Trump and Harris are inaccurate. “What you’re hearing out there is that the polls are close, and I think that’s wrong,” he said. “I think the polls on average show a strong Trump win, and my polls taken independently show that as well.”
Mitchell further claimed that a “major political realignment” could occur in which Trump could secure both the popular vote, sweep the battleground, states and win the electoral college for a landslide victory. “I think the pollsters are having a hard time keeping up with that, us included,” he said. “Party [affiliation] means a lot less than whether you support Trump or Harris.”
“I really don’t think he’s going to buck that trend. So I think he’s going to surprise people in the swing states by being to the right of the polls,” the pollster continued. Mitchell also noted that the Kamala Harris campaigning is struggling to reach voters. “People don’t care who Kamala Harris is,” he said.
He continued voicing criticism toward Harris’ campaign, stating, “They care that she’s part of the Biden administration, and the Biden administration has been deeply unpopular.” Juxtaposing this with former President Trump, he said, “already been through all of the convictions and cases and surprises.” He added, “The truth is, the race hasn’t changed,” while describing the race as “locked in at a Trump plus two national popular vote.”
However, he noted, “You can argue [that] maybe it’s a point to the right or a point to the left, but what you can’t argue is it’s six or seven points better than Trump was doing against Biden [compared to this time in 2020].” In another positive sign for Trump, Mitchell explained that the former President is performing better than he was in past election cycles. He explained that if Trump outperforms his previous popular vote and swings state statistics “that means Trump sweeps the swing states… a big win.”
Further weighing in on the battleground states, Mitchell opined that here is nothing to suggest that Harris is performing well. “Trump’s people are going to turn out,” he said. “I really don’t see any logical or data-based counter to say, ‘Well, Kamala Harris is going to, across the board, outperform the polls nationally.’”
Comparing the race to 1980 Mitchell stated, “A lot of people have been talking about 1980,” he said, where Ronald Reagan’s widespread support led to a landslide victory. “If you stripped [John] Anderson out of that race and gave most of his votes to Carter, then that could be what we’re looking at,” he further noted. “I think we’re [looking at] 1980 minus Anderson, as in, if you gave most of his votes to Carter,” he maintained. “I think it’s probably going to be Trump plus three nationally.”
Watch a renowned Democratic pollster explain how Kamala Harris is “losing grip” on the “blue wall” of battleground states:
"*" indicates required fields