According to a recent report, former President Donald Trump is gaining on Vice President Kamala Harris in the Democratic stronghold state of New Hampshire. Recent polling indicates that the Republican presidential candidate is on the verge of possibly winning the Northeastern state, which hasn’t supported a Republican presidential candidate since 2000.
A recent poll from Emerson College Polling/WHDH suggests that Harris only has a narrow lead of three points at 50 percent of likely voters over Trump who sits at 47 percent. The findings of the poll indicate that Trump is far more competitive in the deep blue state than originally anticipated. There was a notable shift among male voters who are leaning red. However, Harris still has a commanding lead over likely female voters.
Executive director of Emerson College Polling Spencer Kimball said, “Harris’ margin among women is similar to that of Biden in 2020 — however, male voters have shifted about two points toward Trump. In addition, Harris is underperforming Biden’s 2020 support among independent voters, who break for Harris by 13 points, but broke for Biden by about double that amount.”
Reportedly, voters in New Hampshire are most concerned about the economy and housing affordability, which voters generally trust Trump with. Following the economic success throughout most of the Trump administration, many voters believe the Republican presidential candidate is the best option for financial prosperity.
In other encouraging news for former President Trump, polls show him with a notable lead among current and former union workers in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania in what has been described as a realignment of blue-collar workers. The poll found that Trump sat at 47 percent, compared to Vice President Harris’ 43 percent. However, Harris holds a lead among non-unionized workers, over 48 percent, compared to Trump’s 43 percent among the voting demographic.
CNN data analyst Harry Enten weighed in on data behind shifting union support toward Trump, which has been forecasted to be the worst union performance for a Democratic presidential candidate in approximately 40 years. Enten pointed out that a Democratic presidential candidate has not polled so poorly among union voters since 1984 with Mondale.
“Sometimes there are data points that just jump off the screen, should set off sirens. Alright, this is union households. This is the Democratic margin in the presidential election. It ain‘t what it used to be,” Enten stated. “Bill Clinton won that union vote by 30 points. Hillary Clinton only won it by 12 points back in 2016. That was the lowest mark for a Democrat since 1984, Mondale vs. Reagan. But look at where Kamala Harris is today. She is only leading by nine points.”
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Giving historical context for the data points on screen, Enten elaborated on why this is so bad for the Democratic Party. “That would be the worst Democratic performance in a generation. Ten points off the mark of Joe Biden, who of course won four years ago, was sort of that union guy, union Joe, right?” he said about Vice President Harris.
Watch the Enten sound the alarm on the concerning union polling for Vice President Kamala Harris: