Former President Donald Trump recently hosted a massive rally in the Bronx. The presumptive Republican presidential nominee was well-received by thousands of energetic supporters from the overwhelmingly liberal city. According to estimates from the Trump campaign, as many as 25,000 people could have attended the event.
As it appears Trump is increasingly growing his support among minority voters, particularly in Democratic strongholds and swing states, many have illustrated how problematic this is for the Biden campaign. CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten explained why the Bronx rally should be alarming to the Biden administration.
“Look at the Crotona Park area, right, the Crotona Park precinct where that rally was held yesterday. It’s a majority-Hispanic precinct. And I want you to take a look essentially at the election results over the last few cycles and what you would see there is essentially say that look, this is a very democratic precinct, right? But look at the margin trendline here you see Obama 94 Obama 96 Clinton, nine to Biden won it, but by only 69 points,” Enten said.
He further explained how Biden is hemorrhaging voters in areas that has historically voted almost entirely for Democratic candidates. Enten notes that, particularly in Latino communities, voters are becoming less likely to support Joe Biden.
“Why is that important? Because look at that that’s 23 percentage points less than Hillary Clinton won it by. This is a sign of the Hispanic movement that we saw last cycle right where we saw although Hispanics still favored the Democratic candidate and Joe Biden, they were less likely to favor him than they did Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama both times and it’s not just there that happened. We saw him in Hispanic precincts and counties across the country from Southeast Florida, southern Texas, even in the Los Angeles area,” he added.
According to the data analyst, this is the continuation of a trend over the past couple of election cycles where Hispanic voters have been shifting away from the Democratic Party toward the GOP. While Biden still leads among Hispanic voters, Trump is significantly closer to the demographic than he was in 2020.
“So we saw a trend among Hispanic voters from 2016 to 2020, where they became less democratic look at the trend. that we’re seeing right now in the polling, right. So if you look back at Hispanic voters at this point in the 2020 cycle, Joe Biden had a 25 point lead. Look at where that lead is today. It’s just seven points. Donald Trump right now at 44%,” he continued. Watch the segment below:
Enten illustrated that if the current trends continued, this would be the best Republican performance among Hispanic voters in two decades. Additionally, he noted that Trump is also polling well with black voters. “If that held, would be the best performance for Republican candidate among Hispanic voters since George W. Bush back in 2004. And this is part of a larger trend line kit that we’re seeing among nonwhite voters. We see it among black voters as well. We’ve discussed that on this program before whereby they’re much more favorable to Donald Trump than they were four years ago. And of course, Donald Trump did better amongst those, both of those groups. In 2020, versus how he did in 2016,” Enten said.
Note: The featured image is a screenshot from the embedded video.
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